Тhe model predicts that school/workplace closure and individual NPI adoption together reduced the number of deaths in the best-case scenario for the case fatality rate (CFR) from 174411 [CI: 168022, 180644] to 3383 [CI: 3295, 3483] in the Spring 2020 wave. In the Fall 2020/Winter 2021 wave, the introduction of NPIs in workplaces/schools reduced the number of deaths from 17291 [CI: 16268, 18379] to 4167 [CI: 4117, 4217]. Deaths were several times higher in the worst-case scenario for the CFR. We also estimated that each additional 7-11 (resp. 285-452) individuals who choose to adhere to NPIs in the first wave prevented one additional infection (resp., death under a best-case scenario). Our results show that the adoption of NPIs prevented a public health catastrophe.
О пользе карантинных мер
Тhe model predicts that school/workplace closure and individual NPI adoption together reduced the number of deaths in the best-case scenario for the case fatality rate (CFR) from 174411 [CI: 168022, 180644] to 3383 [CI: 3295, 3483] in the Spring 2020 wave. In the Fall 2020/Winter 2021 wave, the introduction of NPIs in workplaces/schools reduced the number of deaths from 17291 [CI: 16268, 18379] to 4167 [CI: 4117, 4217]. Deaths were several times higher in the worst-case scenario for the CFR. We also estimated that each additional 7-11 (resp. 285-452) individuals who choose to adhere to NPIs in the first wave prevented one additional infection (resp., death under a best-case scenario). Our results show that the adoption of NPIs prevented a public health catastrophe.
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Вакцины и тромбы
Астра Зенека уже подозревается в том, что могла стать причиной редких тромбов в мозгу, приведших к смерти сравнительно молодых привившихся, спустя…
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Парадокс
Ну, не такой уж парадокс на самом деле, но показательно. 2020 год ударил по экономикам почти всех стран, и, пожалуй, нет страны, государство ( гос…
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Wow!
Аплодисментами встречали выписывающуюся из колумбийской больницы (San Rafael de Tunja University Hospital in Tunja) Кармен Ернандез. Ей 104 года.…
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